Estee Lauder Companies Stock Performance

EL Stock  USD 109.47  2.08  1.86%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Estee Lauder holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.55, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Estee Lauder will likely underperform. Please check Estee Lauder's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Estee Lauder's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Estee Lauder Companies are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady essential indicators, Estee Lauder disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.17)
Five Day Return
(1.58)
Year To Date Return
2.54
Ten Year Return
19.86
All Time Return
1.2 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0128
Payout Ratio
0.7179
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.4
Dividend Date
2026-03-16
 
Estee Lauder dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
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02/09/2026
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5
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02/11/2026
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7
HSBC Downgrades The Este Lauder Companies to Hold from Buy Heres Why
02/19/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-644 M

Estee Lauder Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,441  in Estee Lauder Companies on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,506  from holding Estee Lauder Companies or generate 15.95% return on investment over 90 days. Estee Lauder Companies is generating 0.2982% of daily returns and assumes 3.217% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 28% of stocks are less risky than Estee on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 94% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Estee Lauder is expected to generate 4.24 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Estee Lauder Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Estee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 109.47 90 days 109.47 
about 40.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Estee Lauder to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.02 (This Estee Lauder Companies probability density function shows the probability of Estee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.55 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Estee Lauder will likely underperform. Additionally Estee Lauder Companies has an alpha of 0.2283, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Estee Lauder Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Estee Lauder

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Estee Lauder Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.89110.11113.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.85108.07111.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
115.99119.21122.43
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
98.13107.83119.69
Details

Estee Lauder Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Estee Lauder is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Estee Lauder's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Estee Lauder Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Estee Lauder within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.55
σ
Overall volatility
7.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Estee Lauder Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Estee Lauder for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Estee Lauder Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Estee Lauder had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 14.29 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.13 B) with gross profit of 10.9 B.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: HSBC Downgrades The Este Lauder Companies to Hold from Buy Heres Why

Estee Lauder Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Estee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Estee Lauder's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Estee Lauder's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding360.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.9 B

Estee Lauder Fundamentals Growth

Estee Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Estee Lauder, and Estee Lauder fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Estee Stock performance.

About Estee Lauder Performance

By examining Estee Lauder's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Estee Lauder's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Estee Lauder is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 233.39  225.40 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.09)(0.09)
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.07 
Return On Assets(0.07)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.26)(0.25)

Things to note about Estee Lauder Companies performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Estee Lauder for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Estee Lauder Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Estee Lauder had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 14.29 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.13 B) with gross profit of 10.9 B.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: HSBC Downgrades The Este Lauder Companies to Hold from Buy Heres Why
Evaluating Estee Lauder's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Estee Lauder's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Estee Lauder's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Estee Lauder's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Estee Lauder's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Estee Lauder's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Estee Lauder's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Estee Lauder's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Estee Lauder's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Estee Lauder's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Estee Lauder's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Estee Lauder Companies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Estee Lauder. Projected growth potential of Estee fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Estee Lauder assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
Dividend Share
1.4
Earnings Share
(0.51)
Revenue Per Share
40.634
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.056
The market value of Estee Lauder Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Estee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Estee Lauder's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Estee Lauder's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Estee Lauder's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Estee Lauder's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Estee Lauder's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Estee Lauder should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Estee Lauder's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.